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7

Knightbolt

2yo Colt · 9-7

Newcastle · Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

165,000 gns yearling, Kodiac colt. 12/1, shaped as if needing the run when fourth of 11 in a maiden at Thirsk (6f) 7 weeks ago. May need more time on that evidence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 13314/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Thirsk44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20264th12/137%70%+0.33