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13

Mollisha

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 70

Newcastle · Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Produced a promising debut effort when third in a C&D novice and whilst she failed to justify support when fourth at Chester (6f, heavy) next time, the contrasting conditions offered some mitigation. Worthy of another chance back on all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 6f Sta 12525/0744 @ Chester 19/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f17y Hvy 12819/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Chester44th4th0
2026-07-25Newcastle43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -95.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20263rd16/116%85%+0.69
19/09/20264th3/184%57%-0.27