8

Princeland

2yo Colt · 9-7

Newcastle · Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

320,000 gns yearling, Havana Grey colt. Ran to only a modest level when fourth of 5 in a Pontefract novice (6f) on debut 7 weeks ago. Hood quickly reached for and surprise were he not capable of better given stable he represents.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Pontefract 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS16/083
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Pontefract34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20264th4/179%25%-0.54