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9

Spruce

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Newcastle · Insulation Contractors Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★ Timeform

Commentary

Advertise half-brother to 5f winner Dothan. Dam, sprint maiden, closely related to smart 5f winner Dutch Masterpiece. Green and always behind in maiden at Salisbury for Martyn Meade in June. Absent/gelded since and rates best watched.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Salisbury 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f213y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/063
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Salisbury36th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength14%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20266th25/10%29%+0.29