Age Of Baroque
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 63
Newcastle · Armah Switchgear Handicap · 7f 14y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Doncaster | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 17/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 20/03/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 17/09/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 18% | -0.45 |