Just Queen High
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 63
Newcastle · Armah Switchgear Handicap · 7f 14y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pontefract | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Leicester | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 4 | 14th | 12th | +2 |
| 2025-10-23 | Nottingham | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/08/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/03/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 02/09/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |