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3

Luminous Warrior

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 64

Newcastle · Armah Switchgear Handicap · 7f 14y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended his time with Dylan Cunha with back-to-back wins at Yarmouth (1m/6f) and went agonisingly close to extending the winning sequence for new stable at Musselburgh (7f) in August. Again ran well when second at Redcar last time, so enters calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 22nd of 22 · OR 65 · 1m GS 153 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 65 par29/035OR 656 @ Kempton 06/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 63 · 7f Sta 133 · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 135 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 60 par1/066OR 606 @ Redcar 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 57 · 7f219y Gd 134 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Yarmouth 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 55 · 1m3y GF 135 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 55 par2/076OR 556 @ Yarmouth 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 55 · 1m3y GF 135 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 55 · 6f3y GF 161 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 55 par5/086OR 556 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 62 · 7f15y Gd 132 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 64 · 7f Goo 139 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 64 par9/096OR 64projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar62nd2nd0
2026-08-25Musselburgh62nd2nd0
2026-08-05Yarmouth61st1st0
2026-07-28Yarmouth61st1st0
2026-07-02Yarmouth62nd2nd0
2026-06-20Redcar66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0320/065/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/202622nd18/15%0%-0.05
06/05/20267th7/163%45%-0.18
01/06/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
20/06/20266th11/271%55%-0.17
02/07/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
28/07/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
05/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
25/08/20262nd22/10%89%+0.89
09/09/20262nd10/147%93%+0.45