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11

Forever Twenty

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 47

Newcastle · Smith Brothers / H. Malone Handicap · 7f 14y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

On the back of a breathing operation, returned to form when fourth of 13 over this C&D on penultimate start, despite having not been ideally placed. Lesser effort upped to 8.5f when sixth of 10 at Beverley 16 days ago, but she's worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Southwell 14/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m13y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS14/0336 @ Newcastle 13/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 58 · 6f Std 128 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Doncaster 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 56 · 7f6y Goo 128 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 56 par2/056OR 566 @ Redcar 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 56 · 7f Goo 131 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 55 · 7f6y Goo 125 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 55 par14/066OR 556 @ Beverley 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 53 · 7f96y Goo 134 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Thirsk 16/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 52 · 7f Goo 128 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 52 par16/076OR 526 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 48 · 7f14y Std 127 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 47 · 1m100y Goo 125 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 47 par16/096OR 47projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley66th6th0
2026-09-03Newcastle64th4th0
2026-07-16Thirsk69th9th0
2026-07-04Beverley63rd3rd0
2026-06-14Doncaster610th10th0
2026-05-18Redcar66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0318/0516/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength38%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20269th200/10%11%+0.11
13/04/20267th16/116%50%+0.34
02/05/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
18/05/20266th7/282%44%-0.37
14/06/202610th18/15%36%+0.30
04/07/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
16/07/20269th16/116%0%-0.16
03/09/20264th17/255%75%+0.20
16/09/20266th20/10%44%+0.44