Lady Grey
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 45
Newcastle · Smith Brothers / H. Malone Handicap · 7f 14y
#14
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 8.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 6 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Ripon | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Doncaster | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/08/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |