Sonbelievable
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 54
Newcastle · Smith Brothers / H. Malone Handicap · 7f 14y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/06/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 17/07/2026 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |