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2

Coramento

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 64

Newcastle · H. Malone Mechanical & Electrical Handicap · 1m 5y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful 3 times here for David Thompson last year and, having rejoined this yard, made a winning return from 6 months off at this course (7f) in July. Ran well when fourth of 9 here last time, but more needed from current mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 26/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m5y Std 134 · beat its mark26/06/2025 · OR 51 par26/066OR 516 @ Newcastle 25/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 50 · 7f14y Std 131 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Newcastle 17/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 51 · 7f14y Std 131 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 51 par17/106OR 516 @ Newcastle 06/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 54 · 1m5y Std 135 · beat its mark06/11/2025 · OR 54 par6 @ Newcastle 01/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m5y Std 135 · beat its mark01/01/2026 · OR 59 par1/016OR 596 @ Southwell 23/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m13y Std 135 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Newcastle 31/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 58 · 7f14y Std 133 · below its mark31/01/2026 · OR 58 par31/016OR 586 @ Newcastle 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 57 · 7f14y Sta 134 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 64 · 7f14y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 64 par5/095OR 64projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle54th3rd+1
2026-07-31Newcastle61st1st0
2026-01-31Newcastle69th9th0
2026-01-23Southwell66th6th0
2026-01-01Newcastle66th6th0
2025-11-06Newcastle61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/066/1131/015/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength48%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20254th10/382%77%-0.06
25/09/20252nd3/184%89%+0.05
17/10/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
06/11/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
01/01/20266th11/486%50%-0.36
23/01/20266th9/276%50%-0.26
31/01/20269th7/163%0%-0.63
31/07/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
05/09/20264th15/261%63%+0.02