Blazing Son
8yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 62
Newcastle · Pipes vs Wires Centenary Showdown Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ripon | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 20/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 23/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |