Brazen Idol
7yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 64
Newcastle · Pipes vs Wires Centenary Showdown Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Ayr | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2024 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 01/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 30% | -0.44 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 08/09/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |