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6

Mayo County

5yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 60

Newcastle · Pipes vs Wires Centenary Showdown Handicap · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who cashed in off reduced mark at Redcar (7f) in May and made the frame on 2 of her 3 starts since, off 3 months prior to finishing third over same C&D 23 days ago. Refitting of cheekpieces may help (hung left under pressure latest) and she's worth a second look.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 62 · 6f16y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 62 par23/015OR 626 @ Newcastle 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 62 · 6f Sta 134 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 61 · 6f Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 61 par27/035OR 616 @ Redcar 20/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 59 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Redcar 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 58 · 7f Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 58 par7/055OR 586 @ Redcar 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 57 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Doncaster 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 63 · 7f6y GF 134 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 63 par6/066OR 636 @ Redcar 19/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 62 · 7f Gd 132 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 61 · 7f Goo 136 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 61 par9/096OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar63rd3rd0
2026-06-19Redcar610th10th0
2026-06-06Doncaster64th4th0
2026-05-25Redcar61st1st0
2026-05-07Redcar53rd2nd+1
2026-04-20Redcar63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0120/046/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20263rd5/287%67%-0.20
14/02/20265th7/163%56%-0.08
27/03/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
20/04/20263rd10/147%85%+0.37
07/05/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
25/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
06/06/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
19/06/202610th5/287%31%-0.56
09/09/20263rd15/261%86%+0.25