5
Run Louie Run
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 60
Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-03-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-02-20 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +38.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.48 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |