10
Docket
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 64
Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Remington Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Remington Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lone Star | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |