3
Tortsanlot
2yo Colt · 8-13
Saint-Cloud · Prix De Conde Jockey Club De Turquie Stakes - Group 3 · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -18.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |