9

Madison Boy
3yo Colt · 9-2
Saint-Cloud · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Poulains Stakes - Arab Group 1 · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 6th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |