3
Msaieed
3yo Colt · 9-2
Saint-Cloud · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Poulains Stakes - Arab Group 1 · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dax | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |