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2

Neuf De Faust

3yo Colt · 9-2

Saint-Cloud · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Poulains Stakes - Arab Group 1 · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Tarbes 17/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 12317/04C5C5 @ Toulouse 27/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12827/05C51 @ La Teste De Buch 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 12811/071projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11La Teste De Buch12nd3rd−0
2026-05-27Toulouse?1st6th−4
2026-04-17Tarbes?6th11th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0427/0511/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +28.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20266th7/163%29%-0.35
27/05/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
11/07/20262nd8/158%80%+0.22