1
Azamra
2yo Filly · 9-9
Saint-Cloud · Prix Soya Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength84%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mont De Marsan | 2 | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 5th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |