7
Etoile D Armor
2yo Filly · 8-11
Saint-Cloud · Prix Soya Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |