2
Lovely Warrior
2yo Colt · 9-5
Saint-Cloud · Prix Soya Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength57%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | 2 | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 58% | -0.05 |