5

Queen Lagertha

2yo Filly · 8-11

Saint-Cloud · Prix Soya Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y

#2

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1188/07C52 @ Dieppe 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Ver 122 · HIGHER CLASS24/082C5 @ Vichy 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1283/09C52 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS11/092projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud26th3rd+3
2026-09-03Vichy?4th4th0
2026-08-24Dieppe24th1st+3
2026-07-08Saint-Cloud?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0724/083/0911/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength51%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
24/08/20264th11/142%50%+0.08
03/09/20264th9/153%70%+0.17
11/09/20266th22/10%17%+0.17