5
Alkaydah
3yo Filly · 9-2
Saint-Cloud · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Pouliches Stakes - Arab Group 1 · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -55.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |