6
Ayla
3yo Filly · 9-2
Saint-Cloud · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Pouliches Stakes - Arab Group 1 · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -12.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |