3

Balsam

3yo Filly · 9-2

Saint-Cloud · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Pouliches Stakes - Arab Group 1 · 1m 1f 207y

#6

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1231/07C5C0 @ Deauville 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1234/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Deauville?2nd2nd0
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?2nd7th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/074/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20262nd2/189%93%+0.03
04/08/20262nd6/168%67%-0.02