6
No Turning Back
3yo Filly · 8-10
Saint-Cloud · Prix Matchem Listed Stakes · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |