1
Synaran
3yo Gelding · 8-13
Saint-Cloud · Prix Matchem Listed Stakes · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | +0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chantilly | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 20/09/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 57% | -0.35 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 9% | -0.49 |