Azaniya
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 108
Saint-Cloud · Prix Dahlia Listed Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Salisbury | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Windsor | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 28/12/2024 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 82% | -0.08 |
| 27/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 21/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 13/08/2025 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |