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Diamond Exchange

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 80

Saint-Cloud · Prix Dahlia Listed Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 14.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: BHA76
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 76 · 1m2f150y Std 130 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 76 par9/01C8OR 76BHA76 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 76 · 1m2f Yie 126 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 76 parBHA77 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 77 · 1m2f Gd 137 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 77 par15/0577OR 77BHA81 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 81 · 1m1f Sft 141 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 81 parBHA81 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 81 · 1m2f GF 141 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 81 par27/0681OR 81BHA80 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m3f88y Gd 132 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 80 parBHA79 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 79 · 1m2f184y Goo 139 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 79 par3/0879OR 79BHA82 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m2f110y Goo 126 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 82 parBHA80 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m4f Std 140 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 80 par18/0980OR 80projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DundalkBHA804th13th−7
2026-08-23NaasBHA828th17th−7
2026-08-03NaasBHA791st10th−7
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA805th14th−7
2026-06-27CurraghBHA817th16th−7
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA818th17th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/014/063/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
15/04/20263rd9/153%82%+0.29
15/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/06/20268th11/271%50%-0.21
27/06/20267th11/271%45%-0.26
14/07/20265th11/271%50%-0.21
03/08/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
23/08/20268th4/179%13%-0.66
18/09/20264th12/137%67%+0.30