5
Grecian Comet
4yo Filly · 8-11
Saint-Cloud · Prix Dahlia Listed Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-11 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 02/02/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |