6
Mahiya
4yo Filly · 8-11
Saint-Cloud · Prix Dahlia Listed Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 06/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 09/11/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 05/04/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 9% | -0.33 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |