11

Miss Justice

5yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 100

Saint-Cloud · Prix Dahlia Listed Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Sandown 13/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 1m1f209y Goo 127 · beat its mark13/06/2025 · OR 82 par13/063OR 824 @ Southwell 13/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 84 · 1m4f14y Std 140 · beat its mark13/07/2025 · OR 84 par1 @ Salisbury 13/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 1m1f201y Goo 130 · beat its mark13/08/2025 · OR 85 par13/081OR 851 @ Newmarket 26/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 101 · 1m4f GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 101 par1 @ Newmarket 10/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 101 · 1m2f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 101 par10/101OR 1011 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 102 · 1m1f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 102 parC1 @ Chantilly 14/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 102 · 1m3f204y Sft 125 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 102 par14/06C1OR 1021 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 101 · 1m4f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 101 par1 @ Newmarket 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 101 · 1m4f GF 135 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 101 par1/081OR 101projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Newmarket17th7th0
2026-07-04Newmarket14th4th+0
2026-06-14Chantilly?4th4th0
2026-05-03Newmarket18th8th+0
2025-10-10Newmarket12nd2nd+0
2025-09-26Newmarket15th5th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0626/0914/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20252nd5/287%86%-0.01
13/07/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
13/08/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
26/09/20255th10/147%60%+0.13
10/10/20252nd10/147%88%+0.40
03/05/20268th17/255%22%-0.33
14/06/20264th9/276%73%-0.04
04/07/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
01/08/20267th17/255%14%-0.41