7
Regal Charm
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 99
Saint-Cloud · Prix Dahlia Listed Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | York | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-10-24 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-09-26 | Newmarket | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2024 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 26/09/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |