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8

Rhapsody

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 101

Saint-Cloud · Prix Dahlia Listed Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength21%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Kempton 29/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m Sta 13229/0321 @ Goodwood 24/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m1f197y Goo 128 · beat its mark24/05/2025 · OR 87 par1 @ Goodwood 08/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 85 · 1m1f197y Sft 128 · beat its mark08/06/2025 · OR 85 par8/061OR 854 @ Kempton 20/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 84 · 1m Sta 135 · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 84 par3 @ York 07/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 83 · 1m177y Gd 132 · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 83 par7/093OR 832 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 24 · OR 92 · 1m GF 125 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 92 par1 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 92 · 1m2f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 92 par18/071OR 921 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 102 · 1m3f188y GS 135 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 102 par1 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 102 · 1m2f23y Goo 130 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 102 par16/091OR 102projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Yarmouth14th4th0
2026-08-20York12nd2nd0
2026-07-18Curragh12nd2nd+0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot24th5th−1
2025-09-07York31st4th−2
2025-08-20Kempton45th9th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0320/0818/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20256th10/382%17%-0.66
24/05/20259th7/282%0%-0.82
08/06/20258th12/137%22%-0.15
20/08/20255th11/142%64%+0.22
07/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
17/06/20264th12/137%87%+0.50
18/07/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38
20/08/20262nd9/153%92%+0.39
16/09/20264th3/184%70%-0.14