Ceramic

3yo Filly · 8-10

Saint-Cloud · Prix Coronation Listed Stakes · 7f 209y

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▬

Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C0.7

Today: 1

Class gap: +0.1

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-03	ParisLongchamp	1	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-04	Deauville	1	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-04-12	ParisLongchamp	1	5th	5th	+0	5.2
2026-03-15	Saint-Cloud	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2025-10-20	Deauville	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2025-09-20	Chantilly	?	2nd	2nd	+0	8.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/07/2025	5th	4/5	96%	50%	-0.46
05/08/2025	2nd	7/2	82%	83%	+0.02
24/08/2025	4th	10/1	47%	50%	+0.03
20/09/2025	2nd	9/2	76%	86%	+0.09
20/10/2025	4th	7/4	91%	57%	-0.34
15/03/2026	2nd	14/1	26%	90%	+0.64
12/04/2026	5th	16/1	16%	33%	+0.18
04/07/2026	4th	7/2	82%	77%	-0.05
03/09/2026	2nd	13/2	66%	92%	+0.26