2
Dark Zel
6yo Mare · 8-13
Saint-Cloud · Prix Coronation Listed Stakes · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 04/06/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |