11
Land Of Liberty
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Saint-Cloud · Prix Coronation Listed Stakes · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Haydock | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-08-28 | Newbury | 5 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 23/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/04/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |