12
Quiescent
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 104
Saint-Cloud · Prix Coronation Listed Stakes · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
76%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength27%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-02 | Chepstow | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 31/07/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 22/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 07/04/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |