4
The Shadow
4yo Filly · 8-13
Saint-Cloud · Prix Coronation Listed Stakes · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 30 | 1st | 36th | −29 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 21/11/2025 | 13th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.08 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 93% | -0.01 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |