Vaticana
3yo Filly · 8-10
Saint-Cloud · Prix Coronation Listed Stakes · 7f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Toulouse | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 05/04/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 11% | -0.57 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |