2

Foxey Lady

6yo Mare · 9-8

Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Vert Clos Handicap · 1m 4f 94y

#11

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fontainebleau 13/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 13013/11C?2 @ Saint-Cloud 19/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 112 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12429/0333 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1322 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS10/0523 @ Saint-Cloud 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1342 @ ParisLongchamp 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 116 · HIGHER CLASS14/0723 @ Deauville 04/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 132C0 @ ParisLongchamp 13/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 11213/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13ParisLongchamp?11th11th0
2026-08-04Deauville33rd3rd0
2026-07-14ParisLongchamp25th4th+1
2026-05-29Saint-Cloud33rd3rd0
2026-05-10ParisLongchamp28th7th+1
2026-04-20Fontainebleau31st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1120/0414/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength44%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/11/202513th10/147%14%-0.33
19/03/20268th33/10%53%+0.53
29/03/20263rd6/168%83%+0.15
20/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
10/05/20268th5/174%46%-0.28
29/05/20263rd8/158%78%+0.20
14/07/20265th33/10%69%+0.69
04/08/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
13/09/202611th40/10%41%+0.41