1
La Guerche
5yo Filly · 9-9
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Vert Clos Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#15
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Nantes | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Nantes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pornichet | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 14-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 18/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 23/04/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |