11
Lofsongur Islande
6yo Mare · 8-13
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Vert Clos Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Les Sables | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |