15
Lorne
7yo Mare · 8-9
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Vert Clos Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-01-20 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-12-23 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2024 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 27/09/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 01/12/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/12/2024 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 20/01/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 28/02/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 03/08/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |