7

Recoletty
6yo Mare · 9-5
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Vert Clos Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Le Mans | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/01/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 27% | -0.33 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |