9
Sevenna's Bay
4yo Filly · 9-1
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Vert Clos Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-10-21 | Clairefontaine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 02/09/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 21/10/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |