6
Spring Eve
6yo Mare · 9-5
Saint-Cloud · Prix Du Vert Clos Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 2 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 30/07/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |