6
Imaboutago
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 101
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 08/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 29% | -0.61 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |